Airport recovery post COVID-19 is enveloped in uncertainty. As highlighted by The International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) in figure 1, the trajectory of recovery is unpredictable and can take any course. In response to the unstable nature of recovery, airlines are employing over-optimistic scheduling and then withdrawals, leading to multiple revised ‘Actual Schedules’. For airports, amongst other factors, this high degree of uncertainty can especially have a significant impact on operational resource planning, such as infrastructure and staff, which in turn can impact capital planning.
