Airport Demand Forecasting

In our previous blog we identified that in 2024 Airport Capacity Planning will once again be an issue for Airport Operations for the first time since the COVID-19 lockdown in 2020. In 2024 passenger volumes are predicted to recover to 2019 levels.

While Demand Forecast Planning has not gone away in that period, indeed it has been a constant and very challenging process used to anticipate changing passenger/cargo volumes, it will come into sharp focus as airports once again work at their limits of capacity. It therefore seems timely for Airports to re-evaluate this fundamental process to check it is fit for purpose.

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Continued Airport Recovery – a look ahead to 2024 and beyond

There are plenty of reasons to be optimistic as the aviation industry moves towards the end of 2023, not least that it is expected to finally reach a profit this year for the first time since the pandemic.

ACI World Airport Traffic Forecasts 2022-2041:

  • Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, global passenger traffic dropped from 9.2 billion in 2019 to 3.6 billion in 2020, and then recovered to 4.6 billion in 2021, and 6.5 billion in 2022. Over the next five years, traffic is expected to recover from 4.6 billion to 11.0 billion. (See chart below) This equates to a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 19.0% over the 2021–2026 period.
  • It is predicted that in 2024 global airport passenger traffic will return to the volume observed in 2019. Passenger traffic worldwide is expected to reach 19.3 billion in 2041 and 23.9 billion in 2050.

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Aviation Industry Recovery White Paper

Now that the aviation industry is thankfully well on the road to recovery following the massive disruption of the pandemic we are glad to be in the position of taking a look forward at future challenges rather than back, and anticipating what lies ahead this summer.

So what does this long awaited recovery mean for your operation and what are the challenges you may face this summer?

Download the latest AiQ Aviation Industry Recovery White Paper now.

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AiQ update

We don’t know about you but our feet have barely touched the ground in the last 12 months! After weathering the COVID storm we are pleased to have recovered well as a business and are now delighted to be making solid progress once again along with our clients.

We thought it might be useful to detail some of the projects AiQ are involved with to provide some scope on the range of work we can undertake. We continue to work for a variety of airports including Heathrow, Bristol, Schiphol and Farnborough. Our work at Heathrow is across a wide range of programmes, in fact we are involved with 6 of the current H7 programmes.

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Meet our new Airport Planner – Charlotte Holter

We’re delighted to welcome Charlotte Holter to the AiQ Airport Planning team. Charlotte graduated from Leeds University with a First Class Honours degree in Aviation Technology with Pilot Studies and has obtained her Private Pilots Licence. She has worked for Jet2.com at Leeds Bradford Airport in Customer Support – Landside and Airside and also at TUI as an Airline Operations Controller. Most recently she worked as the Operations Manager for Cranfield Flying School.

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A year in review

Path to recovery for UK AirportsAs the financial year draws to a close, we reflect on a busy 12 months and also take a look forward to what the future holds for the aviation industry.

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Automation glossary

If you need a refresher of automation acronyms, here’s our glossary of terms which might be helpful.

The terms can be divided into standards and approaches.

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Airport Automation – Building Airport Capacity beyond 2022 – part 3

In our third and final blog in our series on airport automation we discuss the ways in which airports and airlines can make use of smarter new technology solutions. As referenced in our previous blogs Star Alliance has defined an approach to newer technology solutions that are now being introduced, shown in the graphic below, which focuses on:

Move it upstream

Do it faster

Do it smarter

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Airport Automation – Building Airport Capacity beyond 2022 – part 2

As airports implement automated processes such as CUSS, SSBD and CUTE we want to take a look at the direction automation is moving in (see graphic below). Star Alliance has defined an approach to newer technology solutions that are now being introduced which focuses on:

Moving it upstream

Doing it faster

Doing it smarter

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Airport Automation – Building Airport Capacity beyond 2022 – part 1

The priority in summer 2022 has been rebuilding the workforce following the pandemic but in the medium-term airports should be planning for automation to improve operational efficiency and to build resilience into their operation. In the coming years automated technology is going to be a critical factor in providing increased capacity.

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The intelligence behind AiQ

As we have discussed in our previous blogs demand forecasting and capacity planning rely on good data and expert analysis and interpretation of that data. AiQ Consulting are immersed in the whole operation to ensure we know every little detail to provide highly detailed analysis, insight and solutions.

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